Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000870 0.000905 0.000940 0.000978 0.001019 0.001061 0.001108
2025-10-12 0.000809 0.000860 0.000913 0.000973 0.001039 0.001110 0.001192
2025-10-19 0.000763 0.000825 0.000891 0.000969 0.001057 0.001155 0.001272
2025-10-26 0.000723 0.000792 0.000869 0.000960 0.001066 0.001188 0.001338
2025-11-02 0.000695 0.000772 0.000857 0.000961 0.001086 0.001231 0.001416
2025-11-09 0.000665 0.000746 0.000838 0.000951 0.001089 0.001254 0.001471
2025-11-16 0.000639 0.000723 0.000819 0.000940 0.001090 0.001274 0.001520
2025-11-23 0.000629 0.000718 0.000822 0.000955 0.001123 0.001332 0.001620
2025-11-30 0.000614 0.000706 0.000816 0.000957 0.001139 0.001371 0.001698
2025-12-07 0.000594 0.000687 0.000799 0.000946 0.001137 0.001384 0.001740
2025-12-14 0.000574 0.000667 0.000781 0.000931 0.001129 0.001389 0.001770
2025-12-21 0.000558 0.000653 0.000769 0.000924 0.001131 0.001407 0.001819
2025-12-28 0.000532 0.000625 0.000739 0.000892 0.001099 0.001377 0.001797
2026-01-04 0.000520 0.000614 0.000730 0.000889 0.001105 0.001400 0.001856
2026-01-11 0.000509 0.000604 0.000723 0.000886 0.001111 0.001424 0.001917
2026-01-18 0.000497 0.000592 0.000712 0.000878 0.001111 0.001438 0.001962
2026-01-25 0.000489 0.000585 0.000708 0.000880 0.001123 0.001470 0.002038
2026-02-01 0.000477 0.000574 0.000697 0.000871 0.001119 0.001479 0.002077
2026-02-08 0.000466 0.000562 0.000686 0.000861 0.001115 0.001485 0.002112
2026-02-15 0.000463 0.000562 0.000690 0.000874 0.001143 0.001543 0.002236
2026-02-22 0.000457 0.000557 0.000688 0.000876 0.001155 0.001577 0.002322
2026-03-01 0.000447 0.000546 0.000677 0.000866 0.001149 0.001580 0.002354
2026-03-08 0.000436 0.000535 0.000664 0.000853 0.001138 0.001576 0.002372